Geopolitical Human Impact Research Lab
Stanford Geopoliticalthe Lab

Human Impact of Geopolitics

Stanford University

Stanford Geopolitical Human Impact Research Lab.

A pioneering global collaboration led by Stanford University in partnership with the Barcelona Institute for Global Health (ISGlobal) confronting one of the most pressing threats to humanity: the escalating use of maritime blockades, war, sanctions, and the defunding of foreign aid, and their devastating impacts on human health.

“Although health rarely shapes high-level geopolitical decisions, health outcomes serve as a sensitive measurement of their human costs and long-term consequences.”

At a glance

3
Lancet manuscripts planned
2040
Projection horizon
200
Universities convened
30cm
Satellite resolution

Indicators drawn from the Lab’s research agenda, convening, and data partnerships.

Our purpose

Equipping decision-makers to safeguard populations.

Inter- and intra-state conflicts are surging, development agencies face downsizing or dissolution, and the resulting health consequences are projected to reverberate across generations. The Lab examines the profound effects of foreign engagement on global health in an era of escalating geopolitical crises.

“Foreign engagement” encompasses the full spectrum from cooperative state-to-state actions — official development assistance (ODA) and humanitarian aid — to coercive strategies such as war, blockades, ODA defunding, and sanctions. This broad framing captures both cooperative and coercive instruments, and offers a pragmatic lens for understanding how health can be advanced or undermined amid crises. The Lab also explores novel responses to this era of crisis, such as debt relief, to offset volatile development funding.

Geopolitical tools in focus

Four instruments.

The Lab’s research and dashboard focus on the geopolitical instruments most consequential for population health — each examined in a dedicated Lancet manuscript and modeled in the decision-support dashboard.

Maritime blockades
Chokepoints Hormuz, Malacca and food security
Sanctions
Economic coercion and downstream health-system effects
War & armed conflict
Inter- and intra-state conflict and its multi-generational toll
ODA defunding & aid
Sudden cuts to Official Development Assistance and humanitarian aid
Why this matters

Health consequences that reverberate across generations.

Food security, morbidity, mortality
Modeling the impact on undernutrition, malnutrition, and famine, alongside morbidity and mortality among children and adults in LMICs through 2040.
Maritime intelligence
Chokepoint analysis (Hormuz, Malacca) using world-class shipping data with the aim of helping prevent widespread food insecurity in vulnerable nations.
Quantitative modeling at ISGlobal
Health-impact modeling led by Professor Davide Rasella at the Barcelona Institute for Global Health.
Stanford-anchored credibility
Independent, peer-reviewed, and convened with the Consortium of Universities for Global Health (CUGH) across 200 universities.
Get involved

Collaborate with the Lab.

We welcome enquiries from researchers, policymakers, multilateral agencies, and prospective partners interested in advancing the field. The Lab is actively seeking additional leadership and partnerships.